radical anticipation, part 1

On Radical Preservation:

[I]t is striking how far [many] critics are from contending with the aspect of [AI] technology that ought to be most disturbing to those of us who write and think about culture: its potential to undermine the concepts and practices that make it possible to have coherent ethical discussions over things like the environmental impact of new technologies or economic inequality in the first place. This prospect can nevertheless be felt in the coining of new pejoratives for contemporary culture—“slop,” “enshittification,” “the great zombification”—some of which predate AI but are multiplying in its wake. Such terms surely seem hyperbolic to some, but in at least one respect they merely hint at the most troubling possibilities. Indeed, our contention is that, if we fail to think through and delimit the role of AI in our lives, we risk undermining the intelligibility of our own guiding cultural concepts, and thus initiating a period in our own society of which it may someday be possible to say that “nothing happened.”

That reference to a time when “nothing happened” is from Jonathan Lear’s book Radical Hope, where he tries to understand the story of the last chief of the Crow nation, Plenty Coups, as it was recounted by Frank B. Linderman, and Plenty Coups’s effort to face “the end of their traditional way of life.” (It’s briefly described at the very beginning of the link above.)

The editors continue:

As the concepts that had previously organized their lives eroded, so did the Crow’s capacity to act, collectively and personally, in ways that carried meaning for them beyond that of furthering their survival. […]

Technological efficiency has long been one consideration among others in such deliberations, but critics have always warned it should not be treated as just another competing value system. The potential of AI to compromise the very concepts through which we hold ourselves and others responsible for our words and decisions shows why. If we fail to insist that certain kinds of decisions—whether in personal, political or professional contexts—must come from human beings, words like fraud, authenticity, and deliberation will cease to mean anything we might recognize today. […]

To the tech founders who speak gleefully of human beings as the “ultimate resource,” or applaud the “merge” of man and machine in our posthuman future, humanity itself is the primitive tribe that must be sacrificed for some greater—though almost comically underspecified—good. In this vision, it is not this or that set of ethical concepts that must be overcome for the sake of progress, but the allegedly limited faculties of intellect, imagination and practical reasoning—faculties that are the preconditions for our having shared ethical concepts at all.

Quite remarkable that the editors at The Point would invoke this. I think they’re right to reach for something more drastic to compare AI to, but even I would like to (quite unradically) hope this risks being too dramatic.

Sadly, I don’t think it’s wrong. Mostly, anyway.

Let’s recount a bit from Lear.

Around 1855, when Plenty Coups was nine years old, he went to a mountaintop to fast and pray, seeking a dream-vision. Prayers for the Crow often began with “Pity me!” So when no dream-vision came, he cut off part of his finger to invoke pity. “Plenty Coups told Linderman that he knew he was following a tradition in which other Crow warriors in previous generations had ‘sacrificed their flesh and blood to dream.’”

For the Crow … humans have a meaningful place in a meaningful world. Not only is the world populated by spirits, but there is a single God, Ah-badt-dadt-deah. Given this worldview, when a Crow had a strong desire or a wish, there was reason for him to hope that his desire or wish had come into being because the world itself was slightly out of kilter. Going off into the mountains to pray to God to “Pity me!” was a way of drawing the spiritual world’s attention to one’s plight. In a dream-vision one might be visited by a spirit who would explain just how the order of the world would be adjusted so as to gratify one’s wish.

And Plenty Coups did have a vision, one interpreted by the tribe “not merely to predict a future event; it was used by the tribe to struggle with the intelligibility of events that lay at the horizon of their ability to understand.”

Dreams were regularly used by the Crow to predict the future. People would, for instance, wait for a vision in a dream to tell them it was a propitious time to go into battle. But young Plenty Coups’s dream was of a different order. It did not predict any particular event, but the change of the world order.

I won’t recount the entire vision here. They understood that the buffalo were going away, that their way of life was changing if not coming to an end, and that the way to avoid disaster was to become like the chickadee.

“Listen Plenty-Coups,” said a voice. In that tree is the lodge of the Chickadee. He is least in strength but strongest of mind among his kind. He is willing to work for wisdom. The Chickadee-person is a good listener. Nothing escapes his ears, which he has sharpened by constant use. Whenever others are talking together of their successes and failures, there you will find the Chickadee-person listening to their words. But in all his listening he tends to his own business. He never intrudes, never speaks in strange company, and yet never misses a chance to learn from others. … The lodges of countless Bird-people were in the forest when the Four Winds charged it. Only one person is left unharmed, the lodge of the Chickadee-person.

The dream called for “chickadee virtue.” But it isn’t so straightforward. On the one hand, this virtue drew on resources the Crow knew well. “The chickadees were known by the Crow … to be especially powerful. A chickadee once told Pretty Shield’s grandmother when she was a young woman that ‘there is great power in little things.’ And the Crow well knew that offending a chickadee led to a bad outcome.”

On the other hand, the dream-vision represents a kind of “reason at the abyss,” as Lear puts it. Being virtuous within well established cultural norms is one thing.

But the dream-advice to become a chickadee is being given in full recognition that upcoming events will be extraordinary. There is a storm coming that will blow down all the trees but one. And nothing is said about what constitutes the wisdom of others, what their successes are, or how one should learn from them. In particular, there is no first-order advice that one should simply pick up the skills and values of the white man. Indeed, there is no first-order advice at all—unless “learning to listen” counts as first-order behavior.

So Lear describes Plenty Coups as “radicalizing a second-order virtue” in the chickadee-person. “The only substantive commitment embodied in the chickadee virtue is that if one listens and learns from others in the right way—even in radically different circumstances, even with the collapse of one’s world—something good will come of it.”

Lear goes on to describe the “disadvantage” that a courageous, virtuous person would have if that person’s world were coming to an end.

If we think of the virtues, or human excellences, as they are actually taught by cultures across history, it is plausible to expect that the virtuous person will be ready to tackle the wide variety of challenges that life might throw his way. It is unclear that there is anything in such training that will prepare him for the breakdown of the form of life itself. We would like our ethics to be grounded in psychological reality. Thus whatever flexibility is required of a virtuous person, it ought to be something that can be inculcated in the education and training of a culture. But a culture does not tend to train the young to endure its own breakdown—and it is fairly easy to see why. A culture embodies a sense of life’s possibilities, and it tries to instill that sense in the young. An outstanding young member of the culture will learn to face these possibilities well. The situation we are dealing with here, however, is the breakdown of a culture’s sense of possibility itself.

Somewhat humorously Lear adds that a culture is not likely to say “These are ways in which you can succeed, and these are ways in which you will fail; these are dangers you might face, and here are opportunities; these acts are shameful, and these are worthy of honor—and, oh yes, one more thing, this entire structure of evaluating the world might cease to make sense.”

Having learned the virtues in a world that was breaking down, and then having to apply those virtues in the world that did break down, this requires a more radical sense of hope, anticipation, training.

So you can see why the editors at The Point reach for Lear and Plenty Coups for aid. I’m going to leave it here for now, and hopefully come back and say a little more about why I think it’s the right example to look at but also why, even cautiously, and without diminishing the “storm” we are facing, it may be saying too much.

breath, horse dookie, and God’s intent to keep us living

Yesterday I was thinking of Mary Karr’s “Loony Bin Basketball” and came across this Q&A with her about the poem:

“Loony Bin Basketball” is dedicated to Phil Jackson, the remarkable former NBA coach whose nickname was “Zen Master” because of his interest in Robert Pirsig’s book Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance. What do you imagine he would make of this poem?

Phil Jackson is a good friend. He’s called “Zen Master” because he has a serious practice in Buddhist meditation, and his book Sacred Hoops is a very wise way to think about competition not as war with the destruction of the other as its goal, but as a way to fully enter the instant. Sport as a celebration of pure presence with the excellence shared. I dedicated the poem to him because a recent class in mindfulness I took was taught by a Buddhist, and I felt close to him in that attention to breath, which is a spiritual solution in the poem to suicidal ideation.

He says about it in tonight’s e-mail: “Truly Mary, I thought of  Jack Nicholson and One Flew Over The    however, that scene with Big Chief and those players doesn’t do justice to your poem. Catatonic Bill had game!”

The players described in the poem are far from the likes of the professionals Jackson so successfully coached. Can you tell us more about how you encountered (or imagined) Frank, Claire, and Bill?

We all hold excellence and quality in ourselves no matter how defunct we may seem to ourselves or the world at large. The basketball game was from my stay in the mental Marriott almost twenty-five years ago — a place where I decided to start acting like I believed in God even though it seemed like horse dookie. I just needed to.

The lines are rather breathless in tempo, and at the end of the poem you write: “Breath is God’s intent to keep us living. He was the self I’d come in // wanting to kill, and I left him there.” Can you talk a little bit about these lines, about breath and God?

Our autonomic nervous system breathes for most of us, and a priest friend told me once, when I asked him how I was supposed to know God’s will for me, that I should see what is. If you’re breathing, just presume you’re supposed to be alive and start looking around for some way to make yourself useful.

If you’re suicidal, your mind is actually the keenest threat to your survival. Yet depressed people still listen intensely to their minds even though said minds NEVER have anything good to say. Think of it, you try to employ the diseased organ to cure itself! If someone outside your body were shouting those awful things you say to yourself  in such times, you’d plug your ears and sing lalalala. You have to stop that mind or die. A simple meditation practice I started twenty-three years ago involves counting my breaths one to ten over and over. Pure hell at first. I evolved through various practices — some Christian and Ignatian spiritual practices taught to me by a Franciscan nun and a few Jesuits along the way. I came back to breath last year. For me God is in the moment, and I tend to do everything I can to avoid being in such a stalled, unproductive place as the present. The ego has to stop inventing its reality and notice what’s actually going on, which process kills it (the ego) a little if you’re lucky.

no them, only us

You never know where thoughts will go. This post started with the image of a moose running through a clothes line…

Alasdair MacIntyre:

These two related sets of facts, those concerning our vulnerabilities and afflictions and those concerning the extent of our dependence on particular others are so evidently of singular importance that it might seem that no account of the human condition whose authors hoped to achieve credibility could avoid giving them a central place. … Some of the facts of human limitation and of our consequent need of cooperation with others are more generally acknowl-edged, but for the most part only then to be put on one side. And when the ill, the injured and the otherwise disabled are presented in the pages of moral philosophy books, it is almost always exclusively as possible subjects of benevolence by moral agents who are themselves presented as though they were continuously rational, healthy and untroubled. So we are invited, when we do think of disability, to think of “the disabled” as “them,” as other than “us,” as a separate class, not as ourselves as we have been, sometimes are now and may well be in the future.

I’ll keep spelunking around from time to time in the shadows and bowels of what we call “philosophy,” but there’s good reason why most people — most people who love wisdom — never need to go there.

Here are two poems from just this morning.

Clerks” by Edwin Arlington Robinson:

I did not think that I should find them there
When I came back again; but there they stood,
As in the days they dreamed of when young blood
Was in their cheeks and women called them fair.
Be sure, they met me with an ancient air,—
And yes, there was a shop-worn brotherhood
About them; but the men were just as good,
And just as human as they ever were.

And you that ache so much to be sublime,
And you that feed yourselves with your descent,
What comes of all your visions and your fears?
Poets and kings are but the clerks of Time,
Tiering the same dull webs of discontent,
Clipping the same sad alnage of the years.

Those three utterly human lines especially: “And you that ache so much to be sublime, / And you that feed yourselves with your descent, / What comes of all your visions and your fears?”

Spooked Moose” by Douglas Woody Woodsum:

Like a real bull in a bullfight, the full-grown moose
Lowered his head and ripped through my neighbor’s laundry, pinned
To the line from the house corner to the apple tree.

And like a bride with a twenty-foot train, it dragged the line
And the clothes across my neighbor’s lawn, leaving a wake
Of clothespins, jeans, tee shirts, and boxer shorts every few yards.

Then, like a moose in a panic because it has rope
And clothing tangled about its horns and more rope and clothes flapping
About its torso and rear legs, very like such a moose,

It lowered its head again and charged through the old barbed wire
Pasture fence, snapping the rotten fenceposts off at ground level,
Dragging and, finally, snapping, the rusty wires of a forgotten farm.

And then like a fearful beast learning fear for the first time,
It picked up speed as a bedsheet flopped onto its face
and three or four dragging fenceposts barked its rear ankles and shins.

It tripped and fell breaking through the fence again on the far
Side of the field, but struggled up once more to crash
Into the undergrowth and disappear amid the trees.

Lastly, like stunned townspeople in the wake of a twister,
My neighbor and I picked up the strewn pieces of clothing
As we followed tracks, like post-holes, into the dented woods.

That poem manages to be utterly human-in-the-world, funny if read in a certain way, and, if read another way, one of the saddest poems I have ever read.

Keep in mind that MacIntyre in Dependent Rational Animals is addressing two questions: Why is it important for us to attend to and to understand what human beings have in common with members of other intelligent animals species? And, What makes attention to human vulnerability and disability important for moral philosophers?

And this is as good a place as any for another thought, one that risks condescension and could certainly be overstated, but is nonetheless generally true. I know and have known many people who spend a lot of time, even most of their time, taking care of people with disabilities, and doing so largely unnoticed. Most of them care not a lick for philosophy or for poetry. Often, they like books I think should never have been written and TV shows I think should never have aired. I rarely agree with their politics or religion or “philosophy.” But I like their stories and admire what they do and who they are.

This is just an observation, one that keeps the world simultaneously bigger and more inclusive. There is no them, only us.

Speaking of philosophers who treat our rationality as “somehow independent of our animality,” MacIntyre says, “We become in consequence forgetful of our bodies and how our thinking is the thinking of one species of animal.” But more importantly, as St. Paul wrote long ago, we become forgetful of those members of our human body who have been doing this neglected work all along.

Not that the question about how to get philosophers to self-correct is unimportant, but the people on the ground rarely suffer from the delusions of “rational” philosophers. The more important, and perennial, question is about how we can get more of us to recognize and remember the people we pass on the street — or used to pass on the street, that is — every day.

It’s possible, even likely, that these are not separate questions. But that philosophers owe something to these folks and to those they take care of — these members of the body — this cannot be overstated.

“change”

Nick Catoggio:

If you had to bet on political trends, though, you’d always bet on inertia, particularly in an age of turbo-charged tribalism. “Strength” has been part of the right’s tribal identity since the Reagan era; even Trump, who won two elections by questioning GOP-led wars, reinforced that identity with boorish alpha-male bravado and a lust for dominance. Asking Republicans to relinquish it, even after the Iran fiasco, is asking a lot.

And asking Democrats, whose base led the opposition to Vietnam, Iraq, and Iran, and whose anti-American socialist wing is ascendant, to claim it is asking just as much.

So we will likely forge on into 2028 with both parties in their familiar roles, with Republican candidates halfheartedly promising strength and Democratic candidates half-heartedly demanding restraint. No one on either side will feel very convinced by the posturing, but longtime partisans will relish the reassurance that their tribal identity is, more or less, still what it’s always been. The president isn’t the only American besotted by nostalgia.

Chicken Pot Pie, etc

As an experiment, and in lieu of turning some thoughts into an essay the way I’d like to, here’s an audio excerpt from a Signal chat with my friend Luke. This is the Nagasaki piece referenced; this is the North Carolina incident mentioned; and this is the Oppenheimer post.

Update and correction — I was wrong about the recording. It was just the lyrics from my dad’s poem that were turned into an entire AI song, voice included. Which is more of a shame because not only are the lyrics good but my dad has an excellent singing voice.

to laugh with the universal thump

For our west coast book club I’m currently listening to Moby Dick, wonderfully narrated by the great Frank Muller in 1987.

From chapter 1:

[W]hen I go to sea, I go as a simple sailor, right before the mast, plumb down into the fore-castle, aloft there to the royal mast-head. True, they rather order me about some, and make me jump from spar to spar, like a grasshopper in a May meadow. And at first, this sort of thing is unpleasant enough. It touches one’s sense of honor, particularly if you come of an old established family in the land, the Van Rensselaers, or Randolphs, or Hardicanutes. And more than all, if just previous to putting your hand into the tar-pot, you have been lording it as a country schoolmaster, making the tallest boys stand in awe of you. The transition is a keen one, I assure you, from a schoolmaster to a sailor, and requires a strong decoction of Seneca and the Stoics to enable you to grin and bear it. But even this wears off in time.

What of it, if some old hunks of a sea-captain orders me to get a broom and sweep down the decks? What does that indignity amount to, weighed, I mean, in the scales of the New Testament? Do you think the archangel Gabriel thinks anything the less of me, because I promptly and respectfully obey that old hunks in that particular instance? Who ain’t a slave? Tell me that. Well, then, however the old sea-captains may order me about—however they may thump and punch me about, I have the satisfaction of knowing that it is all right; that everybody else is one way or other served in much the same way—either in a physical or metaphysical point of view, that is; and so the universal thump is passed round, and all hands should rub each other’s shoulder-blades, and be content.

And chapter 5:

[A] good laugh is a mighty good thing, and rather too scarce a good thing; the more’s the pity. So, if any one man, in his own proper person, afford stuff for a good joke to anybody, let him not be backward, but let him cheerfully allow himself to spend and be spent in that way. And the man that has anything bountifully laughable about him, be sure there is more in that man than you perhaps think for.

“the vast human capacity for self-deception”

“It’s almost never a good sign when Thucydides is in the news.”

I already quoted Jonathan Kirshner on Thucydides. Now Aeon has a good piece on The Peloponnesian War, and a little broader in its sweep:

The Melians represent one instance of a broader psychological phenomenon depicted by Thucydides: a fervid attachment to justice, especially in times of war, can carry with it certain delusions. In Thucydides, the just are self-deceived, both because they think that they will prosper on account of their justness, and because they overrate their own attachment to justice.

Sparta is a case in point. […]

At best, the Spartans are hypocrites, trumpeting the causes of justice and liberation while quietly acting out of fear and self-interest. Yet the truth is worse and more complicated. The Spartans are moved by a passion for justice, which burns hot when they mete out punishment. Those who threaten the interests of the city – including their own best slaves, whose only fault is their excellence – incur the wrath of the Spartans. They are self-deceived because they do not seem to realise that their passion for justice has grown into a monstrous taste for punishment. The crimes of the Spartans receive a fraction of the attention paid to the fate of the Melians, partly because the Spartans committed their atrocities without the Athenians’ famous (or infamous) rhetorical flourishes.

Meanwhile, the Athenians may appear not to be self-deceived. After all, they talk tough about the weakness of justice in affairs among cities, and aren’t shy about pointing it out to others. In a conference at Sparta before the outbreak of the war, envoys from Athens offer a tripartite defence of the Athenian empire. First, human passions – especially fear, but also desires for honour and profit – compel cities to rule to the limits of their power. Second, experience confirms this account of the psyche. Only weaker cities appeal to justice; the strong simply act, securing their interests as they can. Third, because human nature and experience together compel cities to seek expansive rule, no city should be blamed for so acting. Necessity excuses the Athenian empire.

Yet, Thucydides exposes the delusions of the Athenians no less than those of the Spartans. If the Athenians grasp the weakness of justice among cities, they overestimate the power of reason – including their own. …

… Again and again in the History, the Athenians browbeat their enemies at the bargaining table. It is unclear whether the Athenians care more about realising their strategic aims or vindicating their own cleverness.

It is not enough, in other words, for the Athenians to realise their ambitions; they also want the satisfaction of seeing the other cities acknowledge the truth of their worldview. …

… [F]or all their vaunted realism, and even when they focus their deliberations on material realities, the Athenians make bad decisions, or fail to understand their own motivations. …

More broadly, this misunderstanding of their situation extends to the nature of their empire itself. Pericles, the pre-eminent Athenian statesman, admits that the Athenian empire is ‘like a tyranny’. Yet he does so only in the final speech (before his death), with the plague raging through his city. Even then, he cannot help urging the Athenians to hope for glory. He claims that, even in defeat, Athens will be remembered for having ruled over more Greeks than any other city.

In one sense, at least, Pericles was not mistaken: we do still recall the exploits of the Athenians. Yet our remembrance is owed less to Pericles than to Thucydides. But, where Pericles poetically declares that ‘heroes have the whole earth for their tomb,’ Thucydides depicts the end of the Sicilian expedition: the Athenians leaving behind the unburied and the wounded, drinking their own blood in the river Assinarus, and dying, ignominiously, in the stinking quarries of Syracuse. And where Pericles promises his fellow citizens that they will leave behind them ‘imperishable monuments’, Thucydides leaves us his far more ambiguous History of the war.

[…]

It is ironic, then, that so many with greater confidence and less self-awareness apply their own purposes to a work concerned with the vast human capacity for self-deception.

the abdication principle

Noah Millman, describing… almost everything:

Organizations that are governed by the profit motive have an obvious if manifestly imperfect check regularly imposed on them by reality. Organizations that profess missions beyond the bottom line have to provide that check themselves. If they abdicate that responsibility, they in effect confirm that the profit motive is the only reliable reality check, and encourage those who are in a position to strip them of their other professed missions in favor of the profit motive to do so.

high-touch, small-scale

Ed Yong:

So much crucial work is accomplished one person at a time. No one corners an ER doctor who saves a patient and says, “Great job, but how could you scale that up?” And yet, when it comes to communication or social change, value and success are so often defined quantitatively—more eyeballs, more clicks, more subscriptions. But I strongly believe that in this era of crisis, many of the most important initiatives are high-touch and small-scale, deeply personal and necessarily so.